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The Global Warming Riddle (2/2)

by Tilen Kodrin on 21st April, 2016 at 12:53 PM CEST

Part 1/2

(continues)       

In order to make the previous solutions possible we have to look over another big problem we face. There are many sceptics and nonbelievers about global warming. If some are trying, while others oppose to what they are doing, not much differences can be made, so we have to address them as well. According to Grist.org (one of the biggest American non-profit online magazine about environment and environmental news), here are only a few of the most popular excuses from global warming sceptics: “There is no evidence, One record a year is not global warming, The temperature record is simply unreliable, We cannot trust unproven computer models, We can’t even predict the weather next week, Current global warming is just part of a natural cycle, Mars and Pluto are warming too!” After all the facts I have stated before some of this statements seem pretty ridiculous, but anyway in order to get an authentic, first hand, skeptical opinion, about global warming, I asked my American friend from WVWC, Luke Welty, and this is his opinion: “University of Alabama Huntsville’s satellite has shown no statistically significant data to support global warming; rather the temperature has remained relatively constant since September of 1994. This data shows us a twenty-one year time span without temperature related data to support global warming. Unfortunately, this idea of manmade global warming, which has been forced fed to most American children since birth is in fact built upon opinions and not upon scientific data. In 1997 over 31,000 American scientists signed a petition that stated, ‘There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the earth’s climate.’ Based on these discoveries I believe that manmade global warming does not exist, rather the earth has a natural climate cycle that it follows, and the greenhouse gases that humans create, is not enough to have any significant effect on the earth’s overall climate.”

That is a very well developed opinion with real evidence. But, he is leaning on opinion based on only one out of around 1100 satellites we have placed around our planet (Ritter). I am not saying the data is incorrect, but for something to be a real “fact“ we have to make sure there is a sufficient number of sources backing it up and only one 22 year old satellite in my opinion isn’t very convincing. Also, he is sticking to old information’s, like petition from 1997, that were made in times when technological capabilities were far behind to what they offer us today. Now we have 97% of scientist agreeing on global warming is happening. Melanie Fitzpatrick tells us about John Cook’s new research in May 2013: “His new research once again confirms there is overwhelming agreement amongst climate scientists – over 97 percent agree – and in the scientific literature – over 97 percent of papers confirm – that global warming is real and largely caused by humans.” Despite this indisputable facts, she also adds: “However, current surveys of the U.S. public, such as those done by the Pew Center and Yale, show that less than half the population believe scientists are in agreement on the issue of human-caused climate change.”


Ten indicators of Global Warming

To prove the point, let’s do a “thought experiment”. Imagine you went to 100 doctors and ask each of them to diagnose whether you had cancer or not. If 97 of those hundred medical experts confirmed your worst fears and verified that you did indeed have cancer, would you keep asking for more evidence before you did something about it?  Most people would have a hard time ignoring such a high percent of agreement amongst experts! Furthermore, I don’t want to mislead anybody in pursuing your agreement with my opinion. As Luke says, Earth really has climate cycles. However, there are so many fresh scientific founding that show how humans have polluted air, water and land, and no matter what we believe, we can’t ignore the fact that we have damaged and changed Earth’s surface to a great extent, and many indicators are showing that this will, sooner or later, certainly have consequences for all living creatures.

       After all this information, there are probably many of you asking yourself, “Why would I care? Like one person can change anything? After all it’s nice to have a bit wоrmer weather, I can wear shorter clothes for longer time, and it’s not like anybody is going to die because of one or two degrees higher temperature than usual!” We think that because we are so small in comparison to the whole World, our small deeds do not have any impact on “the bigger picture’’. Unfortunately Earth doesn’t have unlimited resources. Like in our body, also to our planet, nature has provided “organs” that allow Earth detoxification of its body (for example trees transform CO2 to oxygen). But like if you drink alcohol or abuse drugs too much, your livers become unable to remove all toxic substances - same is happening to Earth. Once we pollute (CO2) and destroy its environment (deforestation) too much, she can’t detoxificate herself enough to stay healthy. And slowly but continuously the organism starts to die. A short summery of predictions from Earth Observatory NASA states: “For most places, global warming will result in more frequent hot days and fewer cool days, with the greatest warming occurring over land. Longer, more intense heat waves will become more common. Storms, floods, and droughts will generally be more severe as precipitation patterns change. Hurricanes may increase in intensity due to warmer ocean surface temperatures. In some ecosystems, maximum daily temperatures might climb beyond the tolerance of indigenous plant or animal. To survive the extreme temperatures, both marine and land-based plants and animals have already started to migrate towards the poles. Those species, and in some cases, entire ecosystems, that cannot quickly migrate or adapt, face extinction. The IPCC estimates that 20-30 percent of plant and animal species will be at risk of extinction if temperatures climb only from 1.5° to 2.5°C higher than they are now.” If maybe not the changes that will happen in our life, certainly the changes in lives of our children, will hurt humanity immensely. I know, I am certainly not going to be the one, regretting that I didn’t do everything I could, to assure my kids will have the best possible future they can. Will you?

Article by: Tilen Kodrin

Sources:

Bradford, Alina. “What Is Global Warming?” LiveScience. OurAmazingPlanet, Dec 15, 2014. Web. Apr 9, 2016.

Hall, Shannon. “Why People Resist the Notion of Climate Change.” Universe Today. Climate & Earth, Feb 10, 2014. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Johnson, Nathanael. “How to talk to a Climate Skeptic: Responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming” Grist. A Grist Special Series, n.d. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Luke Welty. Global Warming. Buckhannon: West Virginia Wesleyan College, 2016. Print

Melanie Fitzpatrick ”Scientists Agree Human-Caused Climate Change is Real: But Wait, We’ve Known That for Decades!” Union of Concerned Scientists. The Equation, May 16, 2013. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Nunes, Rachel Ann. “Things you can do about global warming.” Eschooltoday. Climate Change, n.d. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Riebeek, Holli. “How Will Global Warming Change Earth?” Earth Observatory NASA. Global Warming, Jun 3, 2010. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Ritter, Malcom. “How Many Man-Made Satellites Are Currently Orbiting Earth?” Talking Points Memo. How Cutting-Edge Technology & Science Are Powering The Future, Mar 28, 2014. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

 Schwartz, Barry. The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less. New York: Ecco, 2004. Print. Shulman, Seth. “Climate Pioneer.” Union of Concerned Scientists. Global Warming Science, Jun 12, 2012. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Shulman, Seth. ”Measuring Fast-Melting Arctic Sea Ice” Union of Concerned Scientists. Global Warming Science, n.d. Web. Apr 19, 2016.

Dr. Singh, Ayam Victor. The Global Warming Awareness among Faculties and Students of Different Disciplines. Rono Hills: Rajiv Gandhi University, 2012. Print.

The Day After Tomorrow. Dir. Roland Emmerich. Perf. Dennis QuaidJake Gyllenhaal, Emmy Rossum. Dis. Twentieth Century Fox Film Corporation, 2014. DVD.

 

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Robert  Neumann-Krüger,

Robert Neumann-Krüger,

I rather find these 'excuses' so far shallow: "There is no evidence, One record a year is not global warming, The temperature record is simply unreliable, We cannot trust unproven computer models, We can’t even predict the weather next week, Current global warming is just part of a natural cycle, Mars and Pluto are warming too!”

It's inevitable how far we have reached in deploying the resources of the planet, and how much effect our actions are having globally. Bottom-up approaches who will strive to reach governmental levels are certainly welcome aside major agreements like the one in Paris, but how well should we really organize ourselfs if we want to reach really good milestones?

Greetings from Germany,
Robert

22nd April, 2016 @ 3:36 PM CEST

Muhammad Ali Ali

Muhammad Ali Ali

Dear Tilen Kodrin,

Your both articles regarding GW really reveals the the basic issues of GW.

very well done
keep it up

27th April, 2016 @ 7:27 PM CEST

Muhammad Jehangir Khan

Muhammad Jehangir Khan | Action team | CF Chapters

As Green Engineer and my moto to excel for the envoirment protection. I do find your articles really intresting.


Good work Tilen

30th April, 2016 @ 3:59 PM CEST

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